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If elections were tomorrow, Keiko Fujimori has better chances than Humala to win presidential runoff in Peru.

Ollanta Humala vs Keiko Fujimori: who wins the presidential elections?

According to the last polls in Peru,  the presidential runoff has an uncertain outcome, but in the last two weeks Keiko Fujimori has increased her chances to win the presidential elections in Peru. Fujimori is obtaining better results among the undecided voters, while Humala´s chances are stagnating.  But elections are elections and it is still 30 more days until the runoff, and Humala could improve.

A new poll of likely voters in Peru released Friday by the newspaper Peru.21 gives a virtual tie between the nationalist Ollanta Humala (41.5%) and Congresswoman Keiko Fujimori (40.3%), which will meet for the presidency in the elections on June 5.

The poll, made by pollster Datum between 25 and 27 April, is the tightest yet between the two candidates after the first round of elections April 10. In the first round Humala votes make a difference of 8 percentage points over his rival Fujimori (31.6 vs 23.5%).
Since then, Humala only increased 10 points, while Fujimori increasde from 23,5% to 40.3% , a total of nearly 17 points, 7 more than Humala. If this trend continues, Fujimori will win the elections due to the fact that she is capting more undecided voters than Humala.

According to the latest survey, 10.4% are still undecided and 7.8% who plan to vote blank or corrupted, so that luck can change from one moment to another.

Datum director, Manuel Torrado, interpreted the new results, firstly, due to the public “mea culpa ” of Keiko Fujimori made ​​a few days ago when admitting “errors”committed by the governments of his father (1990 – 2000), currently on trial for crimes against humanity and corruption.

The survey was conducted of 1,200 people between 18 and 70 years residing in 17 regions of the country (out of 25) and has a margin of error of 2.8% with a confidence level of 95%.