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Negotiating?: Guzman wants to stay in a Mexican jail.

America Security News.- Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman is escorted to a helicopter in handcuffs by Mexican navy marines at a navy hanger in Mexico City. Photo Credit Eduardo Verdugo / ASSOCIATED PRESS

America Security News.- Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman is escorted to a helicopter in handcuffs by Mexican navy marines at a navy hanger in Mexico City. Photo Credit Eduardo Verdugo / ASSOCIATED PRESS

The leader of Sinaloa Cartel Joaquin “Shorty” Guzman’s capture marks a triumph for Mexico´s President Peña Nieto, whose government last July seized the leader of Los Zetas, Miguel Angel Trevino, a major figure, leading to a sharp reduction in the capacity of that group. It also indicates that U.S.-Mexican counter narcotics cooperation remains effective, although at reduced levels from the levels under Calderon, Pena Nieto’s predecessor.

Rather than bring down levels of violence, however, the arrest may spark armed upheaval in areas where Guzman kept the peace. Other crime chiefs in the Sinaloa Cartel will need to sort out a new leadership structure.

Guzman´s arrest could spark a wave of violence throughout northwestern Mexico if internal shifts evolve into intra-cartel conflict, expressed Intelligence analysts to media. If rival criminal gangs see an opening in the Sinaloa Cartel’s areas of dominance in the states of Baja California, Sonora, Durango, Sinaloa and Chihuahua, then  it would expect to see an increase in inter-cartel violence on some scale.

For now, Mexico’s government faces its own challenge: Keeping Guzman in prison and awaiting trial, a major test given Guzman’s immense wealth and the deep-seated corruption in Mexico’s judiciary. Extradited to the U.S.?,  Mexico is following the colombian way to fight the narcos, so extradition is possible. Guzman will possibly offer whatever he can to remain in Mexico.

Last August, another infamous drug lord, Rafael Caro Quintero, walked out of jail on early release from a 40-year term, freed by judges who took him off the hook for the 1985 kidnap and killing of a U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration agent, Enrique Camarena. The U.S. Justice Department voiced its “disappointment” in the release.

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/02/22/3953243/mexico-arrests-its-most-wanted.html#storylink=cpy